A Status Report on Stablecoins: Where the Peg Actually Holds
The state of the dollar peg across USDT, USDC, DAI and the algorithmic graveyard — what 'stable' means in 2026, and how you'd know if it stopped being true.
Read report →Stablecoin status monitor · online since 2014
A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency that promises to be worth exactly one dollar, always. Twelve years of history say: sometimes. This site logs every major peg promise made since 2014 — who made it, how it was kept, and the three spectacular times it wasn’t — rendered as the status page the industry never published.
Incident history · 2014 → present
The stablecoin idea is older than most people think — the question “is it really worth a dollar?” has been asked of every design since BitUSD. Each entry below is one answer, logged the way an incident report would log it: what launched, what held, and what broke.
Built on Dan Larimer's BitShares protocol, BitUSD was the first serious attempt at a $1 token: crypto-collateralized, overcollateralized with BTS, and steered by on-chain market incentives. It held its peg surprisingly well for years, proved the concept was possible, and quietly faded into history. Every stablecoin since stands on this prototype.
Announced in July 2014 as 'Realcoin' and rebranded Tether in November, USDT launched on Bitcoin's Omni layer in 2015 with a simple promise: every token backed 1:1 by dollars in a bank account. It became the most traded stablecoin in history — and the most disputed. Reserve composition, the Bitfinex relationship, an $18.5M NYAG settlement (2021) and a $41M CFTC fine (2021) are all part of its log. The peg, however, has held.
Nu's 'stable' coin used an algorithmic supply mechanism backed by fractional reserves and shareholder voting. It depegged briefly in 2016, then collapsed outright in 2018 when a bank run drained its thin backing. NuBits is the first entry in what would become a recurring pattern: algorithmic stability that works right up until it doesn't.
Circle and Coinbase launched USD Coin through the Centre consortium: fiat-reserve backed, monthly attestations, US-regulated issuers. It was the industry's attempt to answer Tether's credibility problem with audits instead of assertions. In March 2023 it briefly dipped to ~$0.87 when Silicon Valley Bank failed with $3.3B of Circle's reserves inside — and recovered within days once the FDIC stepped in. Minor incident, logged.
MakerDAO's Multi-Collateral DAI launched in November 2019: every DAI minted against locked crypto collateral (ETH and friends) worth more than the DAI issued, with liquidation rules enforced by smart contract rather than a company's word. Later governance votes added real-world assets — US Treasuries among them — blurring the line between 'crypto-native' and 'traditional' backing while keeping the peg.
TerraUSD promised algorithmic stability via a mint-and-burn link with its sister token LUNA. When confidence cracked in early May 2022, the reflexive loop ran in reverse: UST depegged, LUNA hyperinflated, and roughly $60 billion of paper value evaporated in under a week. It remains the largest stablecoin failure ever logged, triggered contagion across the industry (Three Arrows, Celsius, Voyager), and sent founder Do Kwon from podcast darling to fugitive to convicted fraud.
The EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation entered into force in June 2023, with its stablecoin rules (reserve requirements, redemption rights, issuer licensing) applying from 30 June 2024. For the first time, a major jurisdiction defined what a lawful stablecoin actually is — and several exchanges delisted non-compliant tokens rather than comply.
On 18 July 2025 the US signed the GENIUS Act into law: a federal framework for payment stablecoins requiring 1:1 backing in cash and short-term Treasuries, monthly disclosures, and federal or state charters. The era of 'trust us, the dollars are there' officially became the era of 'show us, every month.' The status check finally has a legal definition of stable.
Peg verification table
Six assets define the stablecoin story. Three still answer to a dollar. Two are dead. One is retired and fondly remembered. Figures are illustrative snapshots for education, not live quotes.
| Asset | Issuer | Launched | Collateral model | Last peg | Mkt cap | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDT | Tether Ltd. | 2015 | Fiat reserves (T-bills) | $0.9998 | ~$140B | Operational |
| USDC | Circle | 2018 | Fiat reserves (cash + T-bills) | $1.0001 | ~$60B | Operational |
| DAI | MakerDAO | 2019 | Crypto + RWA overcollateralized | $0.9997 | ~$5B | Operational |
| UST | Terraform Labs | 2020 | Algorithmic (LUNA seigniorage) | $0.02 | $0 | Down |
| NuBits | Nu | 2014 | Algorithmic / fractional | $0.004 | $0 | Failed |
| BitUSD | BitShares | 2014 | Crypto-collateralized (BTS) | — | — | Retired |
The chart tells the whole moral of the story: the market tried algorithmic stability, watched it fail twice, and voted with approximately 92% of its dollars for boring, auditable, fiat-backed reserves.
From the reports desk
The state of the dollar peg across USDT, USDC, DAI and the algorithmic graveyard — what 'stable' means in 2026, and how you'd know if it stopped being true.
Read report →The step-by-step mechanics of the May 2022 Terra collapse: how an algorithmic stablecoin's reflexive loop reversed, why the rescue failed, and what it changed forever.
Read report →The three ways a stablecoin tries to be worth a dollar — fiat reserves, crypto overcollateralization, and algorithmic supply mechanics — with the historical track record of each.
Read report →Current answer
Are we stable yet? Partially — and increasingly, legally. The fiat-backed giants hold their pegs under daily stress that would sink most banks, crypto-collateralized DAI has quietly worked for years, and both the EU and the US have now written down what “stable” is supposed to mean.
But the log is clear about the failure mode: every design that relied on faith rather than verifiable collateral eventually depegged. NuBits in 2018. Terra in 2022. The question this site asks has not gone away — it has simply acquired better instrumentation. We’ll keep checking.